Advertisments for mutual funds often include a disclaimer, along the lines of "Past performance does not guarantee future growth." When it comes to everyday situations, however, we frequently look at past performance in an attempt to divine the future: credit scores, automobile accidents (and your ICBC discount), job performance, or even fidelity in a romantic relationship.
My friend, RT, used to keep a graphic posted on the outside of his cubicle at work, summarizing his view of life and the future. I've reproduced it here. I always considered RT to be an optimist. Sometimes you have to be.
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